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Outcome of Trump's Ukraine peace offer to Russia by March 31, 2025
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Vladimir Putin•Donald Trump•Russian•Konstantin Malofeyev•Malofeyev•Kremlin•Moscow•Ukraine•Trump•Putin•Russia
Resolution / Starting Odds
Accepted • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Modified and accepted • 25%
No response • 25%
Official statements from U.S. and Russian governments
Story
Putin Expected to Reject Trump's Ukraine Peace Offer, Citing Broader Conflicts
Dec 2, 2024, 11:43 AM
Russian President Vladimir Putin is expected to reject an initial peace offer from incoming U.S. President Donald Trump, according to statements from Kremlin-connected Russian tycoon Konstantin Malofeyev. Malofeyev, a conservative businessman and close ally of the Kremlin, suggested that Moscow would dismiss any Ukraine ceasefire proposal brokered by Trump. He indicated that Putin's negotiation strategy involves rejecting initial offers and only engaging in talks that address broader conflicts. The remarks highlight potential challenges for the incoming U.S. administration in navigating diplomatic relations with Russia.
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Successful peace agreement • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement with territorial concessions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
No progress • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Talks initiated but no agreement • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
Plan fully accepted • 25%
Plan partially accepted • 25%
Plan rejected • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Successful agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without agreement • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement on certain issues • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations postponed indefinitely • 25%
Peace deal reached • 25%
Negotiations stalled • 25%
Negotiations abandoned • 25%
No official outcome • 25%
Meeting occurs and results in peace agreement • 25%
Meeting occurs without peace agreement • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Meeting occurs but escalates conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
NATO membership pursued • 25%
Territory ceded • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Successful ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without resolution • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%