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Outcome of Trump-Putin discussions on Ukraine by May 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from the U.S. or Russian governments or reputable international news agencies
Story
Putin Open to Ceasefire with Trump, Insists No Territory Concessions and Ukraine Drop NATO Bid
Nov 20, 2024, 06:22 AM
Russian President Vladimir Putin is open to discussing a Ukraine ceasefire deal with U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, according to multiple reports citing five sources with knowledge of Kremlin thinking. However, Putin rules out making any major territorial concessions, insisting that the ceasefire should reflect the "realities" on the ground and that Russia will not give up any territory. Russia demands that Ukraine abandon its ambitions to join NATO and will not tolerate such a move. The potential peace deal is sparking fear in Kyiv, as senior Ukrainian officials concede that Trump could force a harsh agreement to end the war. Analysts, including Alexander Dugin and Dimitri K. Simes, suggest that Russia seeks victory rather than a frozen conflict, and caution that Trump cannot dictate terms to Putin.
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Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Partial Withdrawal of Russian Troops • 25%
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