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Outcome of the Kovel protests by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Protesters' demands fully met • 25%
Protesters' demands partially met • 25%
Protesters' demands not met • 25%
Protests escalate • 25%
News reports, official statements
Story
Residents of Kovel Protest Against Military Enlistment Office, Three Men Released
Aug 3, 2024, 11:07 PM
In Kovel, a city in the Volyn region of Western Ukraine, residents have staged a public rally against the local military enlistment office. The protests were sparked by the detention of men by mobilization officers at a roadblock. Demonstrators are demanding the release of those held, accusing the authorities of illegal detentions. The situation has led to a long standoff with police and military personnel. Protesters applauded the release of three men.
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Policy change • 25%
Government resignation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Prisoner exchange deal secured • 25%
Ceasefire announced • 25%
Both prisoner exchange deal and ceasefire • 25%
Neither • 25%
Protests lead to significant policy change • 25%
Protests continue with no significant policy change • 25%
Protests decline significantly • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Hostages released • 25%
Netanyahu resigns • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
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Other • 25%
Protests lead to a cease-fire deal • 25%
Protests lead to a change in government policy • 25%
Protests subside without major changes • 25%
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Protests continue without resolution • 25%
Protests end with policy changes • 25%
Protests end without policy changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Kahanism removed from government • 25%
Itamar Ben-Gvir removed from position • 25%
Netanyahu makes concessions • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Netanyahu resigns • 25%
Protests end without resignation • 25%
Government crackdown on protests • 25%
Protests continue into 2025 • 25%
Cease-fire agreed • 25%
Partial cease-fire • 25%
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Government Resigns • 25%
New Elections Announced • 25%
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Netanyahu resigns • 25%
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New elections called • 25%