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Outcome of Tencent's legal action against U.S. government by end of 2026
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Tencent wins • 25%
U.S. government wins • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
No legal action taken • 25%
Court rulings or official announcements by Tencent or the U.S. government
Story
U.S. Labels Tencent and CATL as Chinese Military Companies on January 10, 2025; Tencent Threatens Legal Action
Jan 11, 2025, 05:24 PM
The U.S. Department of Defense has designated Tencent, the world's largest gaming publisher, and CATL, a major battery supplier for Tesla, as Chinese military companies. This classification has raised concerns and prompted Tencent to assert that it is not affiliated with the Chinese military. The company has indicated a willingness to pursue legal action against the U.S. government to contest its inclusion on the blacklist. The implications of this designation are significant for both companies, as they navigate the complexities of U.S.-China relations and the impact on their business operations.
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Pending litigation • 25%
Designation upheld • 25%
Designation overturned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
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Yes • 50%
Remains on list • 25%
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Appeal rejected • 25%
Partial removal (some subsidiaries removed) • 25%
Designation removed • 25%
No official outcome • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Designation upheld • 25%
Modified designation • 34%
Removed from list • 33%
Remains on list • 33%
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Other • 25%
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Stock surpasses pre-designation levels • 25%
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Stock recovers to pre-designation levels • 25%
Stock remains significantly below pre-designation levels • 25%