Loading...
Market
Outcome of SEC lawsuit against Elon Musk by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Settlement reached • 25%
Court rules in favor of SEC • 25%
Court rules in favor of Musk • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Official announcements from the SEC, court documents, credible news outlets
Story
SEC Sues Elon Musk for Securities Fraud Over Delayed Twitter Stock Disclosure
Jan 14, 2025, 11:43 PM
The US Securities and Exchange Commission has sued Elon Musk, alleging that he committed securities fraud by failing to disclose his acquisition of more than 5% of Twitter's shares within the required timeframe in March 2022. The SEC claims that Musk delayed his disclosure by 11 days, allowing him to purchase shares at artificially low prices ahead of his $44 billion takeover of the social media platform. The lawsuit was filed in federal court in Washington.
View original story
Similar markets
Not Guilty • 25%
Settlement • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Musk found guilty • 25%
Musk found not guilty • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other • 25%
Dismissal • 25%
Settlement • 25%
Court Ruling • 25%
Found guilty • 25%
Ongoing into 2026 • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Formal charges filed • 25%
Settlement with monetary penalty • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No action taken • 25%
Other • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Charges filed • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Other penalties imposed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Settlement Reached • 25%
Operational Restrictions Imposed • 25%
Formal Charges Filed • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%