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Outcome of RFK Jr.'s FEC complaint
5
Florida•Reform Party•Ross Perot•Kennedy•Green New Deal•Donald Trump•COVID•Libertarian Party•Federal Elections Commission•Liberty values
Resolution / Starting Odds
Complaint dismissed • 33%
Debate criteria amended • 33%
Other resolution • 34%
Official FEC ruling on the complaint
Story
RFK Jr., Highest-Polling Candidate, Secures Florida Ballot Access for 2024 with Reform Party Nomination
May 24, 2024, 01:22 PM
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has officially secured ballot access in Florida for the 2024 presidential election after being nominated by the Reform Party. This marks a significant milestone as he becomes the highest-polling candidate to solidify the party's nomination since Ross Perot's historic run. Kennedy's campaign, described by some as unconventional, has drawn mixed reactions. While some view him as a conspiracy theorist, others believe he deserves a spot on the presidential debate stage. Kennedy has also been vocal about his stance on various issues, including reparations, the Green New Deal, and open borders. Additionally, he has criticized Donald Trump’s handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, aiming to attract Libertarian Party members. Kennedy plans to file a complaint with the Federal Elections Commission over his potential exclusion from next month's presidential debate. The Reform Party has expressed its support for Liberty values and has granted Kennedy automatic ballot access in Florida.
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Similar markets
In favor of Kennedy • 33%
Against Kennedy • 33%
Dismissed without a ruling • 33%
Violation confirmed • 33%
No violation • 33%
Dismissed on technical grounds • 34%
Significant positive impact • 33%
No significant impact • 34%
Significant negative impact • 33%
Significantly Negative • 33%
Moderately Negative • 33%
No Significant Impact • 34%
Court rules in favor of RFK Jr. • 50%
Court rules in favor of Meta • 50%
Top 5 • 25%
Top 10 • 25%
Below Top 10 • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Significant increase • 25%
Slight increase • 25%
No change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Endorsement reaffirmed • 33%
Endorsement withdrawn • 33%
Neutral stance adopted • 34%