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Outcome of potential peace talks involving Ukraine by December 31, 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without agreement • 25%
Breakdown of talks • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Official announcements from involved governments or credible news sources
Story
UK Supplies Dozens of Storm Shadow Missiles to Ukraine in Late October, Early November Before Biden Administration Approves Strikes
Nov 26, 2024, 12:26 AM
The British government has supplied Ukraine with dozens of additional Storm Shadow air-launched cruise missiles, according to reports. These deliveries, which occurred several weeks ago, were made prior to a recent decision by the U.S., U.K., and France to allow Ukraine to conduct long-range strikes inside Russia. The shipments were not publicly announced and were reportedly ordered after Ukraine experienced a shortage of these missiles. The timing of the deliveries is significant, as they came just before the outgoing Biden administration approved the strikes, raising questions about the implications for U.K. relations with the incoming Trump administration in January.
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Comprehensive peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire without territorial concessions • 25%
Ceasefire with territorial concessions • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Partial Withdrawal • 25%
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Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
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Partial agreement • 25%
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Partial agreement on specific issues • 25%
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Full peace treaty • 25%
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