Loading...
Market
Outcome of next Russia-Ukraine peace talks by July 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Partial agreement on specific issues • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Official announcements from the governments of Russia and Ukraine or international mediators
Story
Ukraine Strikes Bryansk with U.S. ATACMS Missiles; Putin Updates Nuclear Doctrine
Nov 19, 2024, 03:14 PM
Ukraine has launched its first strikes inside Russian territory using U.S.-made long-range missiles, following authorization from the Biden administration. The strikes targeted Russia's Bryansk region using ATACMS missiles, as reported by the Daily Mail. In response, Russian President Vladimir Putin has updated Russia’s nuclear doctrine, lowering the threshold for the deployment of nuclear weapons. The revised doctrine now considers a conventional attack on Russia by any nation supported by a nuclear power as a joint attack on Russia. This development has heightened global tensions, with concerns that it could escalate the conflict significantly. The strikes occurred on Tuesday.
View original story
Similar markets
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Postponement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Negotiations postponed • 25%
Comprehensive peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire without territorial concessions • 25%
Ceasefire with territorial concessions • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Formal peace treaty signed • 25%
Ceasefire agreement only • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Comprehensive peace agreement • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
Partial agreement with territorial concessions • 25%
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Partial Withdrawal • 25%
Full Withdrawal • 25%
No Agreement • 25%