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Outcome of ongoing clashes between Israeli soldiers and Hezbollah by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Major escalation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Verified news reports from major news agencies and official statements from involved parties
Story
35 Israeli Soldiers Injured in Maroun al-Ras Clashes with Hezbollah Near Lebanon Border
Oct 2, 2024, 10:48 AM
Israeli soldiers were injured in an exchange of fire with Hezbollah near the Lebanon border. The clashes resulted in 35 soldiers being injured in an ambush in Maroun al-Ras, southern Lebanon. Israeli media reported that helicopters were used to evacuate the injured soldiers from the area. Footage shows the Israeli army evacuating both dead and wounded soldiers during the clashes. New evacuation operations are underway for Israeli soldiers injured by Hezbollah fire along the Palestine-Lebanon border.
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Continued clashes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Escalation to full-scale war • 25%
Return to status quo • 25%
Peace negotiations • 25%
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Israel declares victory • 25%
Hezbollah declares victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
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Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued low-intensity conflict • 25%
Escalation to full-scale war • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Escalation into Full-Scale War • 25%
Continued Skirmishes • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued skirmishes without agreement • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Hezbollah Victory • 25%
Israeli Victory • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation into full-scale war • 25%
Status quo with intermittent skirmishes • 25%
Hezbollah disarmed by international intervention • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict with no major change • 25%
Escalation into a larger regional conflict • 25%
International intervention leading to peace talks • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Israel Victory • 25%
Hezbollah Victory • 25%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%
Continued hostilities • 25%
Peace negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel launches ground invasion • 25%
Hezbollah launches major counteroffensive • 25%
Both sides agree to ceasefire • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Hezbollah retreat • 25%
Israel retreat • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Escalation to Full-Scale War • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Hostilities • 25%
Full-Scale War • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Hezbollah retreat • 25%
Israeli withdrawal • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%