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Outcome of NATO's 1 million soldier mobilization plan in Ukraine by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Plan fully executed • 25%
Plan partially executed • 25%
Plan not executed • 25%
No official plan existed • 25%
Official NATO announcements, credible news sources
Story
Russia Claims NATO Plans to Deploy 100,000 Peacekeeping Troops in Ukraine Under Trump Deal
Nov 29, 2024, 06:59 AM
Russia's Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) has claimed that Western countries, under the guise of deploying peacekeeping forces, are planning to 'occupy' Ukraine. According to the SVR, NATO is preparing to send up to 100,000 troops to Ukraine as part of a potential peace deal under a Trump administration. The intelligence service alleges that this move is intended to split Ukraine among Romania, Poland, Germany, and Britain. The SVR also mentioned that NATO plans to establish training centers in Ukraine to mobilize approximately one million soldiers.
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Deployment occurs • 25%
Deployment canceled • 25%
Deployment modified • 25%
No official action • 25%
Successfully trains 1 million Ukrainians • 25%
Trains less than 1 million Ukrainians • 25%
Training program is canceled • 25%
No official confirmation of training numbers • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Mission success with Ukraine regaining control • 33%
Mission ongoing with no clear outcome • 33%
Mission failure with NATO withdrawal • 33%
Increased security • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Deterioration in security • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Continued status quo • 25%
Withdrawal of support • 25%
Increased aid and support • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Decreased aid and support • 25%
Complete cessation of aid • 25%
Increased military involvement • 25%
Continued current support levels • 25%
Decreased involvement • 25%
Diplomatic resolution with Russia • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Formal membership invitation • 25%
Continued current support level • 25%
Decreased support • 25%
Troop deployment • 25%
Training centers established • 25%
Logistical support only • 25%
No involvement • 25%