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Outcome of Japan-China diplomatic talks on airspace breach by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Resolution and apology from China • 25%
Increased tensions with no resolution • 25%
Economic agreements • 25%
Military agreements • 25%
Official announcements, major news outlets
Story
Japan Protests First Recorded Chinese Airspace Breach, Scrambles Jets
Aug 26, 2024, 09:14 AM
Japan has lodged a strong protest against China after a Chinese military aircraft breached its airspace on Monday. According to the Japan Defence Ministry, this incident marks the first time on record that a Chinese military aircraft has entered Japan's actual airspace, rather than just its Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ). In response to the breach, Japan scrambled fighter jets to intercept the Chinese reconnaissance plane. The incident has been reported by Kyodo and confirmed by the Japan Defence Ministry.
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No significant outcome • 25%
Agreement on airspace protocols • 25%
Mutual condemnation • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Agreement on new safety measures • 25%
Mutual expression of regret without new measures • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Issue a formal protest • 25%
Impose economic sanctions • 25%
Increase military presence in the affected area • 25%
Engage in diplomatic talks • 25%
Russia issues formal apology • 25%
Russia denies wrongdoing • 25%
Russia promises to avoid future violations • 25%
No significant response from Russia • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Further diplomatic protests • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Russia apologizes • 25%
Russia denies wrongdoing • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia issues apology • 25%
Russia denies wrongdoing • 25%
No official response from Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Formal apology from Japan • 25%
Formal protest from China • 25%
Both apology and protest • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Resolution reached • 25%
Agreement to continue talks • 25%
No progress made • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%