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Outcome of Israeli airstrike on Hashem Safieddine by December 31, 2024?
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Hezbollah•Hashem Safieddine•Beirut•Dahieh•Israeli•Safieddine•Hassan Nasrallah•Israeli Air Force•Israeli Channel 14•Axios•Barak Ravid•The New York Times
Resolution / Starting Odds
Safieddine confirmed killed • 25%
Safieddine confirmed injured • 25%
Safieddine unscathed • 25%
Outcome remains unclear • 25%
Official statements from Hezbollah, Israeli government, or credible news sources
Story
Israel Targets Hezbollah's Hashem Safieddine with Bunker Buster Bombs in Beirut Airstrikes
Oct 3, 2024, 10:01 PM
Israeli airstrikes targeted senior Hezbollah official Hashem Safieddine in Beirut's southern suburb of Dahieh on Thursday night, according to multiple reports citing Israeli sources. Safieddine, a cousin and potential successor to Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, was reportedly in a deep underground bunker when the strikes occurred. The Israeli Air Force allegedly used bunker buster bombs in the attack, which targeted a meeting of senior Hezbollah leaders. Israeli Channel 14, Axios reporter Barak Ravid, and The New York Times reported that the strikes aimed to eliminate Safieddine and possibly other top figures. The outcome of the attack remains unclear.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Nasrallah eliminated • 25%
Nasrallah captured • 25%
Nasrallah escapes • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Prolonged tensions without escalation • 25%
Other • 25%
Status remains unknown • 25%
Other • 25%
Confirmed dead • 25%
Confirmed alive • 25%
Status unknown • 25%
Captured by IDF • 25%
Yes • 50%
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Confirmed Dead • 33%
Confirmed Alive • 33%
Status Unknown • 33%