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Market
New ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah by Jan 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Israeli government or Hezbollah, verified reports from major news agencies
Story
IDF Conducts Airstrikes on Hezbollah in Lebanon After Ceasefire Violations
Dec 2, 2024, 06:56 PM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have initiated a series of airstrikes targeting Hezbollah positions in Lebanon, in response to the group's violations of the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Lebanon. The IDF's actions follow several incidents where Hezbollah posed threats to Israeli civilians, prompting military operations in southern Lebanon. The IDF has confirmed ongoing strikes against terror targets in Lebanon, with reports indicating that these operations are in retaliation to Hezbollah's activities near rocket and missile production facilities in the Beqaa Valley, as well as other ceasefire violations.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Temporary suspension • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire collapses • 25%