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Outcome of ICC's decision on arrest warrants for Hamas leaders by end of 2024
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ICC•Karim Khan•Israel•Hamas•Gaza conflict•Britain•Conservative•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Yoav Gallant•Labour•Gaza
Resolution / Starting Odds
All requested warrants issued • 33%
Some requested warrants issued • 33%
No requested warrants issued • 34%
Official announcements from the ICC
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ICC Prosecutor Cancels Evidence Mission, Requests Arrest Warrants for Netanyahu and Gallant
Jul 8, 2024, 06:05 AM
On May 20, ICC prosecutor Karim Khan made a surprise request for warrants to arrest leaders of Israel and Hamas involved in the Gaza conflict. On the same day, he abruptly canceled a sensitive mission to collect evidence in the region, according to eight people with knowledge of the matter. This move has sparked controversy, with Britain's Conservative government attempting to delay the ICC's decision on arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Yoav Gallant. However, the new Labour government is expected to drop this challenge, allowing the ICC to proceed with its decision on whether to issue the arrest warrants for alleged war crimes in Gaza.
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Only Netanyahu, Gallant, and Halevi • 25%
Only Hamas leaders • 25%
Both Israeli and Hamas leaders • 25%
No arrest warrants issued • 25%
Netanyahu arrested • 25%
Gallant arrested • 25%
Sinwar arrested • 25%
None arrested • 25%
All arrested • 25%
Some arrested • 25%
None arrested • 25%
Warrants withdrawn • 25%
Issue a new arrest warrant • 25%
Announce an investigation • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other • 25%
Pursue charges against Netanyahu • 25%
Pursue charges against Gallant • 25%
Pursue charges against both • 25%
Do not pursue charges • 25%
Appeal Accepted • 25%
Appeal Rejected • 25%
Appeal Partially Accepted • 25%
Withdrawn by Israel • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes, Netanyahu's warrant • 25%
Yes, Gallant's warrant • 25%
Yes, Al-Masri's warrant • 25%
No, none rescinded • 25%
Issue new arrest warrants • 25%
Initiate new investigations • 25%
No further action • 25%
Other actions • 25%