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Outcome of ICC proceedings against Valery Gerasimov by end of 2024
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International Criminal Court•ICC•Russian•Sergei Shoigu•Valery Gerasimov•Ukraine•Russia•Ukrainian•Shoigu
Resolution / Starting Odds
Extradited and trial begins • 25%
Extradited but no trial • 25%
Not extradited • 25%
Case dropped • 25%
Verified news sources and official ICC announcements
Story
ICC Issues Arrest Warrants for Former Russian Defense Minister and Chief of Staff for War Crimes in Ukraine
Jun 25, 2024, 10:57 AM
The International Criminal Court (ICC) has issued arrest warrants for former Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and Chief of the General Staff Valery Gerasimov. The warrants, issued by the Second Pre-Trial Chamber, are based on charges of directing attacks against civilian objects and civilians in Ukraine. These charges relate specifically to Russia's missile strikes against Ukrainian power infrastructure from October 10, 2022, to March 9, 2023, when Shoigu was defense minister. The ICC's decision marks a significant step in holding Russian military officials accountable for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity.
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Gerasimov Arrested • 33%
Gerasimov Still At Large • 33%
Gerasimov In Hiding • 34%
Shoigu Arrested • 33%
Shoigu Still At Large • 33%
Shoigu In Hiding • 34%
Issuance of More Warrants • 25%
New Sanctions Proposals • 25%
International Cooperation Requests • 25%
No Further Actions • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Investigation initiated • 25%
Charges filed • 25%
Convictions obtained • 25%
Arrested • 25%
Trial initiated • 25%
Charges dropped • 25%
No action • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
All arrested • 25%
Some arrested • 25%
None arrested • 25%
Warrants withdrawn • 25%
Netanyahu arrested • 25%
Gallant arrested • 25%
Sinwar arrested • 25%
None arrested • 25%