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Outcome of first international investigation into Mount Qasioun by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Facility confirmed for barrel bomb production • 25%
Facility used for other military purposes • 25%
Facility not used for military purposes • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Official reports from international investigative bodies
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Assad Regime Converts Mount Qasioun into Barrel Bomb Production Facility, Used 81,916 Times Since December 8 Liberation
Jan 1, 2025, 08:00 PM
The Assad regime has reportedly converted Mount Qasioun in Damascus into a facility for producing barrel bombs. This site, previously restricted to the public, is now associated with the manufacturing of explosives used in large-scale massacres during the Syrian civil war. Over the course of the conflict, the regime has deployed barrel bombs approximately 81,916 times. The facility contains numerous barrels, explosive materials, detonators, and various metals, indicating its role in the ongoing violence against civilians. Mount Qasioun has long been a prohibited area, particularly during the regime's 13-year conflict with the Syrian populace, but has recently seen an influx of visitors following the liberation of the capital on December 8.
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Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Minor violations found • 25%
Major violations found • 25%
No conclusive evidence found • 25%
Evidence implicating Ukraine • 25%
Evidence implicating the U.S. • 25%
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Investigation inconclusive • 25%
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Syrian Government • 25%
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HTS • 25%
Another Rebel Group • 25%
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Russia confirmed responsible • 25%
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Israel found responsible • 25%
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Hamas found responsible • 25%
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Diplomatic resolution reached • 25%
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Intentional attack • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
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Negligence • 25%
Condemnation without action • 25%
New sanctions on Syria • 25%
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International investigation • 25%