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Outcome of EU decision on frozen Russian assets by September 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Transferred to escrow • 25%
Returned to Russia • 25%
Used for Ukraine aid • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official EU announcements or credible news reports
Story
Biden Administration Urges EU to Transfer $300 Billion in Frozen Russian Assets to Escrow Account, Trump Team Supports Strategy
Jan 14, 2025, 10:55 AM
The Biden administration is reportedly urging European Union countries to transfer approximately $300 billion in frozen Russian assets to a new escrow account. This account would only be accessible following a peace agreement with Russia. Trump's team has expressed support for this strategy, viewing the frozen assets as leverage against the Kremlin. The proposal has been characterized by EU officials, including Kallas, as a crucial initial step towards utilizing these assets in the context of a potential peace deal involving Ukraine.
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Similar markets
Confiscation approved • 25%
Confiscation rejected • 25%
No decision made • 25%
Confiscation partially approved • 25%
Assets transferred to Ukraine • 25%
Assets remain frozen • 25%
Assets returned to Russia • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
Kept frozen with no decision • 25%
Allocated for humanitarian aid • 25%
Approved for Ukraine weapons purchase • 25%
European Court of Justice • 25%
No legal challenge • 25%
International arbitration • 25%
National courts of EU member states • 25%
Decreased support for similar measures • 25%
Increased support for similar measures • 25%
No change in stance • 25%
Other • 25%
