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Outcome of Erdogan's Ukraine Conflict Proposal at G20 by Dec 2024
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Accepted • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Postponed for further discussion • 25%
No formal outcome • 25%
Official G20 summit conclusions or verified news reports
Story
Erdogan Proposes Ukraine Conflict Freeze, NATO Talks Delay at G20 Summit in Brazil
Nov 18, 2024, 09:09 AM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan plans to present a proposal at the G20 summit in Brazil to freeze the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine. The proposal, as reported by Bloomberg, includes creating a demilitarized zone in Eastern Donbas, deploying international peacekeeping forces, and Ukraine postponing discussions on joining NATO for at least ten years as a concession to Putin. The plan aims to halt the war along current frontlines, with the demilitarized zone serving as an additional guarantee for peace.
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Call for de-escalation • 25%
Sanctions against Russia • 25%
No consensus • 25%
Other resolutions • 25%
Agreement to allow strikes • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Postponed decision • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Successful ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without resolution • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement, continued negotiations • 25%
No agreement, talks break down • 25%
Meeting postponed or canceled • 25%
Turkey successfully mediates peace • 25%
Turkey fails to mediate peace • 25%
Turkey remains neutral • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Talks initiated but no agreement • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Meeting postponed • 25%
Meeting canceled • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Increased Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Humanitarian Aid Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 33%
Partial agreement • 33%
No agreement • 33%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement with territorial concessions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Successful agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without agreement • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%