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Outcome of Australia-China military talks by end of 2024
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Resolution reached • 33%
No resolution • 33%
Talks postponed or cancelled • 34%
Official statements from either government
Story
Australian Helicopter Dodges Chinese Jet Flares in Yellow Sea During UN Mission
May 6, 2024, 09:44 AM
A Chinese J-10 fighter jet fired flares about 300 meters in front and 60 meters above an Australian Navy Seahawk helicopter, forcing the pilot to take evasive action. The incident occurred near the HMAS Hobart in international waters in the Yellow Sea during a UN mission to enforce sanctions against North Korea. Australia has protested to Beijing, describing the maneuver as 'unsafe and unprofessional.' The Australian Defence Minister announced plans to discuss the incident directly with his Chinese counterpart to address the escalating tensions.
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Restoration of normal relations • 25%
Continued tension with no change • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
Reduction in military presence by both nations • 25%
China and Australia agree on new safety protocols • 33%
No significant change in relations • 33%
Relations deteriorate further • 33%
Increase in defense spending • 25%
New alliances or treaties formed • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Reduction in regional operations • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Crisis resolved • 33%
Partially resolved • 34%
Unresolved • 33%
No sanctions imposed • 33%
Targeted sanctions on specific sectors • 33%
Broad economic sanctions • 34%
Trade agreements • 25%
Environmental initiatives • 25%
Technology partnerships • 25%
No significant outcomes • 25%