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Outcome for Yemeni Houthis recruited by Russia by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Returned to Yemen • 25%
Granted Russian citizenship • 25%
Still active in Ukraine • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reports from international news agencies, official statements from Yemeni or Russian authorities, or humanitarian organizations
Story
Russia Recruits Yemeni Houthis Promised High Salaries to Fight in Ukraine—Financial Times
Nov 24, 2024, 09:16 AM
Russia has recruited hundreds of Yemeni fighters, including members of the Iran-backed Houthi rebel group, to fight in Ukraine, according to the Financial Times. Recruitment began as early as July through a Houthi-linked company, with Yemeni men promised high-paying jobs and Russian citizenship. Upon arrival in Russia via Oman, many were forcibly inducted into the Russian army and sent to the front lines, where they have reportedly suffered heavy losses. This shadowy trafficking operation highlights the growing ties between Moscow and the Houthis.
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Continues without major changes • 25%
Significant reduction in recruitment • 25%
Complete halt of recruitment • 25%
Increase in recruitment efforts • 25%
Returned to Yemen • 25%
Integrated into Russian military • 25%
Still active in Ukraine conflict • 25%
Disbanded or deserted • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Less than 500 • 25%
500 to 1000 • 25%
1001 to 1500 • 25%
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Yes • 50%
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Condemnation by UN • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Syria • 25%
Libya • 25%
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Strengthened alliance • 25%
Maintained current relations • 25%
Weakened alliance • 25%
Severed relations • 25%
Significant impact on conflict • 25%
Moderate impact on conflict • 25%
Minimal impact on conflict • 25%
No discernible impact • 25%
Successful attack on a military target • 25%
Intercepted attack • 25%
Failed attack due to technical issues • 25%
No significant military action • 25%
Houthis gain more control • 25%
Houthis lose significant ground • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%