Loading...
Market
Number of GOP Senators Facing Musk-Backed Primary Challenges by End of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
None • 25%
1-2 • 25%
3-4 • 25%
5 or more • 25%
Campaign announcements and financial support disclosures
Story
Trump Team Warns GOP Senators of Elon Musk-Funded Primaries Over Matt Gaetz Confirmation Vote
Nov 21, 2024, 11:07 PM
A warning has been issued by the Trump team to Republican senators regarding their votes on confirming Matt Gaetz for a cabinet position. According to reports from ABC News, a Trump advisor stated that senators opposing Gaetz could face primary challenges, with financial backing from Elon Musk. The advisor emphasized that a vote against Gaetz would mean 'you’re buying yourself a primary.' This statement highlights the influence of Musk, who is reportedly poised to finance such primary campaigns against dissenting senators. The warning underscores the political pressure within the Republican Party as it navigates the confirmation process for Trump's cabinet picks.
View original story
Similar markets
0-2 senators • 25%
3-5 senators • 25%
6-10 senators • 25%
More than 10 senators • 25%
Senator A • 25%
Senator B • 25%
Senator C • 25%
Other/None • 25%
Mitt Romney • 25%
Susan Collins • 25%
Lisa Murkowski • 25%
Other • 25%
Texas • 25%
Florida • 25%
Ohio • 25%
Other • 25%
Musk-backed candidate wins • 25%
Incumbent wins • 25%
Runoff required • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Kevin McCarthy • 25%
Mitch McConnell • 25%
Lindsey Graham • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Thom Tillis • 25%
Lindsey Graham • 25%
Other named Senator • 25%
No announcement by any Senator • 25%