Loading...
Market
New coalition government formed within one month post-February 2025 elections?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the German government or major news outlets
Story
German Chancellor Scholz Loses Confidence Vote After Coalition Collapse; Snap Elections on February 23, 2025
Dec 16, 2024, 03:37 PM
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has lost a confidence vote in the Bundestag, triggering the dissolution of parliament and setting the stage for early elections on February 23, 2025. The confidence vote, held on Monday afternoon following the collapse of his coalition government, saw 207 members voting in support, 394 against, and 116 abstentions. Scholz's Social Democratic Party (SPD) has been losing popularity, adding to the challenges facing his government. He is expected to request the dissolution of parliament from President Frank-Walter Steinmeier, paving the way for snap elections.
View original story
Similar markets
FPÖ and ÖVP • 25%
FPÖ and Greens • 25%
FPÖ and Social Democrats • 25%
Other • 25%
Social Democrats-Greens • 25%
Conservatives-Greens • 25%
Grand Coalition (Social Democrats-Conservatives) • 25%
Other • 25%
SPD-Greens • 25%
CDU/CSU-FDP • 25%
SPD-CDU/CSU • 25%
Other • 25%
New coalition formed • 33%
Current coalition remains • 34%
Early elections called • 33%
CDU/CSU and FDP • 25%
SPD and Greens • 25%
AfD and CDU/CSU • 25%
Other coalition • 25%
