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Market
NASA or ISRO publish new paper on black hole event by March 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Publication records in scientific journals or announcements from NASA and ISRO
Story
Nearest Supermassive Black Hole Destroys Star, Targets Another
Oct 11, 2024, 05:02 AM
A massive black hole has torn apart one star and is now using the resulting debris to attack another star or a smaller black hole. This discovery was made using NASA’s space observatories, ChandraXray, and ISRO’s AstroSat. The orbiting star is now repeatedly crashing through the debris disk approximately every 48 hours. The event was reported in the journal Nature and is considered the nearest star-eating supermassive black hole.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes, a major breakthrough occurs • 25%
No significant breakthroughs • 25%
Incremental advancements • 25%
Other • 25%
New theoretical explanation • 25%
Observation of similar black holes • 25%
Revised feeding rate • 25%
Other • 25%
Astrophysical Journal • 25%
Nature • 25%
Science • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
New black hole discovery • 25%
Black hole merger • 25%
Black hole jet detection • 25%
Other significant discovery • 25%
NASA • 25%
European Southern Observatory • 25%
CERN • 25%
Other • 25%
New type of black hole • 25%
Black hole merger event • 25%
Black hole and star interaction • 25%
Other • 25%
