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Most significant U.S.-China diplomatic event in 2025?
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United States•Americans•Kai Li•John Leung•Chinese•Biden•White House•State Department•China•Thanksgiving
Resolution / Starting Odds
Trade Agreement • 25%
Military Tensions • 25%
Environmental Pact • 25%
Other • 25%
Major news outlets and official government announcements
Story
U.S. Frees Swidan, Li, Leung in Prisoner Swap with China
Nov 27, 2024, 02:37 PM
On Wednesday, the United States secured the release of three Americans imprisoned in China—Mark Swidan, Kai Li, and John Leung—through a prisoner exchange involving three unidentified Chinese citizens held in U.S. custody. The Biden administration brokered the deal following years of intensive diplomatic efforts between White House and State Department officials and their Chinese counterparts. All three Americans had been designated by the U.S. government as wrongfully detained, and their release means that all Americans wrongfully held in China are now free. The exchange comes ahead of Thanksgiving and marks a significant development in U.S.-China relations.
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Summit meeting • 25%
Trade negotiations • 25%
Military dialogue • 25%
Other • 25%
Release of another American detainee • 25%
Lifting of specific trade restrictions • 25%
High-level diplomatic meeting • 25%
Other • 25%
Trade Relations • 25%
Human Rights • 25%
Military Cooperation • 25%
Climate Change • 25%
Trade relations • 25%
Human rights issues • 25%
Climate change • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes, with significant outcomes • 25%
Yes, but no significant outcomes • 25%
No meeting • 25%
Meeting postponed • 25%
Trade Agreement • 25%
Security Pact • 25%
Cybersecurity Cooperation • 25%
No Major Outcomes • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Biden Administration • 25%
Trump Administration • 25%
Harris Administration • 25%
Other • 25%