Market
Winner of German federal elections on Feb 23, 2025
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Social Democratic Party (SPD) • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) • 25%
Green Party • 25%
Other • 25%
Official election results announced by the German Federal Returning Officer
Story
German Chancellor Scholz Loses Confidence Vote; Government Collapses, Elections Set for February 23, 2025
Dec 16, 2024, 03:44 PM
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has lost a confidence vote in the Bundestag, paving the way for early elections on February 23, 2025. Only 207 out of 717 members of parliament backed him, triggering the dissolution of parliament and effectively ending his tenure as chancellor. The no-confidence vote follows the collapse of his three-party coalition government amid declining popularity of his Social Democratic Party (SPD).
View original story
Similar markets
Other • 25%
SPD • 25%
CDU • 25%
Green Party • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) • 25%
Other • 25%
Candidate from SPD • 25%
Alice Weidel (AfD) • 25%
Candidate from CDU/CSU • 25%
Alternative for Germany (AfD) • 25%
Alliance 90/The Greens • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) • 25%
Other • 25%
Green Party • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) • 25%
Other coalition wins majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
Greens win majority • 25%
Other party or coalition • 25%
Coalition government forms • 25%
Current government retains power • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Opposition wins majority • 25%
SPD • 25%
Greens • 25%
Other • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
Robert Habeck • 25%
Olaf Scholz • 25%
Friedrich Merz • 25%
Other • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
CDU wins majority • 25%
Coalition government • 25%
SPD • 25%
AfD • 25%
Other • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
SPD • 25%
Green Party • 25%
Other • 25%
AfD • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
AfD-led coalition • 25%
CDU/CSU-led coalition • 25%
SPD-led coalition • 25%
Other coalition • 25%