Market
Will Vodafone-Three Merger Increase UK Mobile Service Prices by End of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports and analysis from Ofcom or major financial news outlets
Story
UK Approves £16.5B Vodafone-Three Merger, Creating Largest Mobile Operator
Dec 5, 2024, 10:11 AM
The UK's Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) has approved the £16.5 billion merger between Vodafone and Three, creating Britain's largest mobile operator by revenue. The merger, which will combine Vodafone's operations with Three UK, a subsidiary of Hong Kong tycoon Li Ka-shing's CK Hutchison, has been conditionally approved with the stipulation that both companies commit to significant investments in the UK's digital infrastructure. The CMA's decision was influenced by the companies' promises to invest billions of dollars, despite concerns about potential price hikes for consumers. The merger is expected to serve 50 million customers and improve the UK's 5G network.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increase >10% • 25%
No significant increase • 25%
Increase <5% • 25%
Increase 5-10% • 25%
Increased investment in infrastructure • 25%
No major response • 25%
New strategic partnerships • 25%
Significant price cuts • 25%
Less than 30% • 25%
More than 50% • 25%
40% to 50% • 25%
30% to 40% • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Vodafone-Three does not lead • 25%
Vodafone-Three leads by <5% market share • 25%
Vodafone-Three leads by 5-10% market share • 25%
Vodafone-Three leads by >10% market share • 25%
Top 2 • 25%
Top 1 • 25%
Top 3 • 25%
Below Top 3 • 25%