Market
Will Vodafone and Three complete their merger by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Vodafone, Three, or the UK's Competition and Markets Authority (CMA)
Story
UK's CMA Approves £16.5B Vodafone-Three Merger to Form Largest Mobile Network
Dec 5, 2024, 08:38 AM
The UK's Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) has conditionally approved the £16.5 billion ($19 billion) merger between Vodafone and Three, paving the way to create Britain's largest mobile network by revenue. Announced on Thursday, the merger requires Vodafone and Three, the UK subsidiary of Hong Kong tycoon Li Ka-shing's CK Hutchison, to sign binding commitments to invest billions of dollars in network infrastructure. The approval addresses antitrust concerns and is contingent upon the companies expanding network coverage and capacity.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
More than 50% • 25%
30% to 40% • 25%
40% to 50% • 25%
Less than 30% • 25%
New strategic partnerships • 25%
Increased investment in infrastructure • 25%
Significant price cuts • 25%
No major response • 25%
Vodafone-Three leads by 5-10% market share • 25%
Vodafone-Three leads by >10% market share • 25%
Vodafone-Three does not lead • 25%
Vodafone-Three leads by <5% market share • 25%