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Will Vice President Vance cast a tie-breaking vote for Pete Hegseth's confirmation by January 24, 2025?
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Pete Hegseth•Senate•Hegseth•Democratic•Republican•Susan Collins•Lisa Murkowski•Democrats•Republicans•Fox News•Donald Trump•the Pentagon•Mitch McConnell•Vance
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official Senate vote records and news reports
Story
Senate Advances Hegseth's Defense Nomination Despite GOP Opposition; Final Vote Expected Friday
Jan 23, 2025, 08:08 PM
Pete Hegseth's nomination to be Secretary of Defense advanced in the Senate on Thursday after a 51-49 procedural vote cleared the way for a final confirmation. The Senate invoked cloture on Hegseth's nomination, overcoming a Democratic-led filibuster that required a simple majority. Republican Senators Susan Collins and Lisa Murkowski joined all Democrats in opposing the motion, reflecting unease among some Republicans over Hegseth's behavior and qualifications to lead the U.S. military. Hegseth, a former Fox News host and President Donald Trump's pick to lead the Pentagon, has faced controversy and allegations of impropriety. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell voted in favor of the nomination. The final confirmation vote is expected to occur on Friday evening after up to 30 hours of debate. Hegseth can afford to lose only one more Republican senator before Vice President Vance would need to cast a tie-breaking vote.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Rejected • 33%
Not Confirmed • 25%
Withdrawn • 34%
Confirmed with VP tiebreaker • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Nomination Withdrawn • 25%
Vote Delayed • 25%
Confirmed without VP tiebreaker • 25%
Confirmed • 33%
Not confirmed • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Confirmed with majority Republican support • 25%
Confirmed with majority support • 25%
Confirmed • 33%
Confirmation vote delayed • 25%
Confirmed with Vice President's tie-breaking vote • 25%
Delayed • 34%
Rejected • 33%
Confirmed with bipartisan support • 25%
Confirmed • 33%
Vote Delayed • 34%
Rejected • 33%
Withdrawn • 25%
Confirmed without delay • 25%
Confirmed after delay • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Confirmed along party lines • 25%
Rejected along party lines • 25%
Rejected with bipartisan opposition • 25%
Confirmed with bipartisan support • 25%
Confirmed with narrow margin • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Confirmed with majority support • 25%
Rejected • 33%
Vote postponed • 34%
Confirmed • 33%
Confirmed with all GOP support • 25%
Confirmed with majority • 33%
Not confirmed • 25%
Confirmed with some GOP dissent • 25%
Vote delayed • 34%
Rejected with majority • 33%