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What will be the outcome of Pete Hegseth's confirmation vote by January 24, 2025?
5
Pete Hegseth•Senate•Hegseth•Democratic•Republican•Susan Collins•Lisa Murkowski•Democrats•Republicans•Fox News•Donald Trump•the Pentagon•Mitch McConnell•Vance
Resolution / Starting Odds
Confirmed without tie-breaking vote • 25%
Confirmed with tie-breaking vote • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Official Senate vote results published on government websites or reputable news sources
Story
Senate Advances Hegseth's Defense Nomination Despite GOP Opposition; Final Vote Expected Friday
Jan 23, 2025, 08:08 PM
Pete Hegseth's nomination to be Secretary of Defense advanced in the Senate on Thursday after a 51-49 procedural vote cleared the way for a final confirmation. The Senate invoked cloture on Hegseth's nomination, overcoming a Democratic-led filibuster that required a simple majority. Republican Senators Susan Collins and Lisa Murkowski joined all Democrats in opposing the motion, reflecting unease among some Republicans over Hegseth's behavior and qualifications to lead the U.S. military. Hegseth, a former Fox News host and President Donald Trump's pick to lead the Pentagon, has faced controversy and allegations of impropriety. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell voted in favor of the nomination. The final confirmation vote is expected to occur on Friday evening after up to 30 hours of debate. Hegseth can afford to lose only one more Republican senator before Vice President Vance would need to cast a tie-breaking vote.
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Similar markets
Withdrawn • 34%
Vote Delayed • 25%
Nomination Withdrawn • 25%
Rejected • 33%
Confirmed • 33%
Confirmed with VP tiebreaker • 25%
Confirmed without VP tiebreaker • 25%
Not Confirmed • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Vote delayed • 34%
Rejected with majority • 33%
Confirmed with majority • 33%
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Confirmed with all GOP support • 25%
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Confirmed after delay • 25%
Confirmed without delay • 25%
Confirmation vote delayed • 25%
Confirmed with bipartisan support • 25%
Confirmed • 33%
Vote delayed • 25%
Confirmed with Vice President's tie-breaking vote • 25%
Confirmed with majority support • 25%
Confirmed with majority Republican support • 25%
Delayed • 34%
Not confirmed • 25%
Rejected • 33%
Confirmed • 33%
Vote postponed • 34%
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Confirmed with VP vote • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Confirmed without VP vote • 25%
Confirmed with tie-breaking vote • 25%
Confirmed with majority support • 25%
Vote delayed beyond March 31 • 25%
Rejected • 33%
Vote Delayed • 34%
Confirmed • 33%
Withdrawn • 34%
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Rejected with majority • 25%
Tie requiring Vice President's vote • 25%
Confirmed with majority • 25%
Withdrawn before vote • 25%
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Confirmed • 33%