Market
What will be the outcome of the Senate vote on the U.S. Secretary of Defense nominee by February 28, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Confirmed with majority support • 25%
Rejected by majority vote • 25%
Nomination withdrawn before vote • 25%
Vote delayed beyond timeframe • 25%
Official vote results published by the U.S. Senate
Story
Concerns Rise Over New U.S. Defense Secretary Nominee, Described as 'Abuser of Women,' Amid Allegations and Impact on 250,000 Women Serving
Nov 30, 2024, 01:30 PM
Concerns are mounting regarding the nomination of a new U.S. Secretary of Defense, as multiple sources highlight troubling allegations about his character and behavior. His mother has reportedly criticized him for lacking moral integrity, describing him as an 'abuser of women.' Critics emphasize that his past actions, including alleged misconduct towards women, raise serious questions about his fitness for the role, particularly in light of his potential influence over military policies affecting women. One commentator pointed out that the nominee's personal conduct could pose national security risks, given the sensitive nature of his responsibilities. The call for thorough vetting by senators is underscored by the need to protect the interests of the approximately 250,000 women currently serving in the military.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Tie • 33%
Majority No • 33%
Majority Yes • 33%
Another Nominee • 25%
Elbridge Colby • 25%
Pete Hegseth • 25%
No Confirmation by Deadline • 25%
Ron DeSantis confirmed • 33%
Pete Hegseth confirmed • 33%
Another nominee confirmed • 34%
Ron DeSantis • 25%
No Confirmation by Deadline • 25%
Another Candidate • 25%
Pete Hegseth • 25%
Delayed • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Confirmed with majority • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Withdrawn before vote • 25%
Confirmed with majority support • 25%
Tie requiring Vice President's vote • 25%
Rejected with majority • 25%
Confirmed with Vice President's tie-breaking vote • 25%
Position remains vacant • 25%
Pete Hegseth • 25%
Ron DeSantis • 25%
Another nominee • 25%
No Nomination by Deadline • 25%
Another Candidate • 25%
Ron DeSantis • 25%
Pete Hegseth • 25%
Vote delayed beyond March 31, 2025 • 25%
Confirmed with 51-60 votes • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Confirmed with over 60 votes • 25%
Rejected with majority • 33%
Not confirmed • 25%
Vote delayed • 34%
Confirmed with some GOP dissent • 25%
Confirmed with all GOP support • 25%
Confirmed with majority • 33%
Confirmed with majority support • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Confirmed with narrow margin • 25%