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Will Trump's DEI executive orders face a court injunction by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Federal court rulings and publicly available legal documents
Story
President Trump Signs 200 Executive Orders Ending DEI Programs, Recognizing Two Genders
Jan 20, 2025, 05:36 PM
President Donald Trump is set to sign an estimated 200 executive orders on his first day in office, aiming to end federal diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) programs and establish that the U.S. government recognizes only two genders: male and female. The orders will define sex based on biological reality and affect government identification documents such as passports. The administration plans to remove gender ideology guidance and policies, end taxpayer-funded gender transitions for prisoners, and cease housing biological men in women's prisons. In his inauguration speech, Trump stated, 'We will forge a society that is colorblind and merit-based.' These executive actions represent a departure from previous policies on gender identity and DEI initiatives.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Complete End • 25%
Partial Rollback • 25%
No Change • 25%
Expansion • 25%
Modify some DEI directives • 25%
Eliminate all DEI directives • 50%
No action on DEI directives • 25%
Orders fully blocked • 25%
Orders partially blocked • 25%
Settled out of court • 25%
Orders upheld • 25%
Executive Order Overturned • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Executive Order Modified • 25%
Executive Order Upheld • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%