Market
Will any federal agency face legal challenges over DEI program dismantling by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Court records and legal filings
Story
Trump Orders Closure of Federal DEI Offices by Wednesday Deadline; DEI Staff Placed on Leave
Jan 22, 2025, 03:00 AM
President Donald Trump has signed executive orders Monday requiring the dismantling of Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) programs across federal agencies. According to a memo issued Tuesday by the Office of Personnel Management (OPM), DEI staff must be placed on paid administrative leave by 5 p.m. Wednesday, with plans to lay them off. The memo includes email templates for federal workers stating that DEI programs have "divided Americans by race, wasted taxpayer dollars, and resulted in shameful discrimination." Agencies are instructed to take down public DEI-focused webpages by the same deadline and warned of "adverse consequences" for attempts to "disguise" DEI initiatives under different names. The OPM directed agencies to report their progress within 24 hours.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Executive Order Modified • 25%
Executive Order Upheld • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Executive Order Overturned • 25%
General DEI Programming • 25%
Race-based Hiring • 25%
No Legal Challenge • 25%
DEI Mental Health Initiatives • 25%
Policy revised to include DEI • 25%
Policy remains unchanged • 25%
Policy revised to exclude DEI • 25%
Other policy change • 25%