Market
Will Trump formally propose Canada joins the U.S. by June 30, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Statements or announcements from Donald Trump or the U.S. government
Story
Trump Calls for Canada to Join U.S. as 51st State, Citing Trade Deficits After Trudeau Resignation
Jan 6, 2025, 06:42 PM
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has announced his resignation. In response, U.S. President-elect Donald Trump suggested that Canada could merge with the United States and become the 51st state. Trump asserted that many Canadians 'love being the 51st state' and stated that 'the United States can no longer suffer the massive trade deficits and subsidies that Canada needs to stay afloat'. He claimed that Trudeau 'knew this and resigned'. Trump argued that a merger would eliminate tariffs, lower taxes, and enhance security against threats from Russia and China, stating, 'together, what a great nation it would be.'
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Accepted by both nations • 25%
No official action taken • 25%
Rejected by the U.S. • 25%
Rejected by Canada • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
