Market
What will be Canada's response to Trump's suggestion by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Begin negotiations • 25%
Reject proposal outright • 25%
Hold a national referendum • 25%
No official response • 25%
Official statements from the Canadian government
Story
Trump Calls for Canada to Join U.S. as 51st State, Citing Trade Deficits After Trudeau Resignation
Jan 6, 2025, 06:42 PM
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has announced his resignation. In response, U.S. President-elect Donald Trump suggested that Canada could merge with the United States and become the 51st state. Trump asserted that many Canadians 'love being the 51st state' and stated that 'the United States can no longer suffer the massive trade deficits and subsidies that Canada needs to stay afloat'. He claimed that Trudeau 'knew this and resigned'. Trump argued that a merger would eliminate tariffs, lower taxes, and enhance security against threats from Russia and China, stating, 'together, what a great nation it would be.'
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Other • 25%
Open to discussions • 25%
Rejection of proposal • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other Measures • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiations • 25%
Impose Tariffs • 25%
No Action • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
Other measures • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increased border security • 25%
Negotiations initiated • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
No response • 25%
Other economic measures • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No response • 25%
Accepted • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
No action • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
Open to discussion • 25%
Reject outright • 25%
No official response • 25%
Seek public referendum • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Non-tariff barriers • 25%
Dollar-for-dollar matching tariffs • 25%
No response • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. • 25%
Impose retaliatory tariffs • 25%
Other • 25%
Seek WTO intervention • 25%