Market
Will there be federal vaccine mandates for school children by end of 2025?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official federal policy announcements or credible news outlets
Story
Trump Defends RFK Jr., Assures Polio Vaccine Safe, Opposes Mandates After Meeting with Pharma CEOs
Dec 16, 2024, 05:03 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has defended his appointment of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services, assuring that Kennedy will be "much less radical than you would think" and has a "very open mind." Amid concerns over Kennedy's vaccine skepticism, including efforts to revoke approval of the polio vaccine, Trump emphasized his support for the polio vaccine, stating, "I'm a big believer in it" and "We aren't banning the polio vaccine. It's not going anywhere." Trump noted that he recently met with the heads of Pfizer and Eli Lilly, with Kennedy present at the meeting. When asked about vaccine mandates in schools, Trump expressed opposition to mandates, saying, "I don't like mandates" and criticizing previous mandates for their impact on children's education.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Pro-vaccine mandates • 25%
Anti-vaccine mandates • 25%
Looser vaccine mandates • 25%
No change • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Stricter vaccine mandates • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No change • 25%
Weakened mandates • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Strengthened mandates • 25%