Market
What changes, if any, will occur in US vaccination policy by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Stricter vaccine mandates • 25%
Looser vaccine mandates • 25%
No change • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Official announcements from US health agencies or legislative changes
Story
Trump Orders Probe into Vaccines-Autism Link, Taps RFK Jr. for Report
Dec 16, 2024, 04:58 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced plans to investigate the connection between childhood vaccinations and autism, a claim that has been debunked by scientific research. During a press conference at Mar-a-Lago, Trump stated that he has 'some very brilliant people' looking into the matter, emphasizing the need to understand why autism rates have increased significantly over the past few decades. He assured that no vaccines would be revoked, specifically mentioning the polio vaccine, and expressed his intent to have Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a known vaccine skeptic, provide a report on the issue.
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No change • 25%
Complete removal of mandates • 25%
Increase mandates • 25%
Decrease mandates • 25%
More restrictive • 25%
Unclear • 25%
No change • 25%
Less restrictive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Critical • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Insufficient data • 25%
Majority support changes • 25%
Majority oppose changes • 25%
Public opinion divided • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Majority supportive • 25%
Majority opposed • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
No significant response • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Support changes • 25%
Oppose changes • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Predominantly negative • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
Major public protests • 25%
