Market
Will the U.S. publicly respond to Putin's missile duel proposal by February 28, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the U.S. government or major news outlets
Story
Putin Proposes Missile Duel with U.S., Offers to Strike Kyiv with Oreshnik Missile
Dec 19, 2024, 10:31 AM
Russian President Vladimir Putin, during his annual end-of-year news conference, proposed a "technological duel" with the United States to showcase the capabilities of Russia's new Oreshnik hypersonic ballistic missile. He suggested that Western experts skeptical of the Oreshnik system select a target in Kyiv and concentrate all their air and missile defense systems there, after which Russia would strike the target with the Oreshnik missile. Putin asserted that "no one has a chance of shooting down the Oreshnik" and stated, "We are ready for such an experiment." The proposed duel aims to demonstrate the missile's ability to evade Western defense systems.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No official response • 25%
Engagement in dialogue • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Condemnation by the EU • 25%
Condemnation by NATO • 25%
Condemnation by the UN • 25%
No official condemnation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Challenge accepted but not conducted • 25%
No official response • 25%
Challenge accepted and conducted • 25%
Challenge rejected • 25%
Talks lead to increased tensions • 25%
Talks result in new sanctions • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Talks lead to de-escalation • 25%
Majority Support • 25%
Mixed Reactions • 25%
Majority Condemn • 25%
No Significant Reaction • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Condemnation without action • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
France • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%