HomeMarketsStories

    Market

    Will the U.S. impose new tariffs on Canadian goods by February 28, 2025?

    4
    Donald Trump•Canada•Mexico•USMCA•Wall Street Journal•Trump•United States•Mexico USMCA•Kenneth Smith•Smith
    Resolution / Starting Odds

    Yes • 50%

    No • 50%

    Official announcements from the U.S. government or credible news sources

    Story

    Trump Threatens Tariffs on Canada and Mexico to Push for Early USMCA Renegotiation Before 2026

    Trump Threatens Tariffs on Canada and Mexico to Push for Early USMCA Renegotiation Before 2026

    Jan 21, 2025, 09:13 PM

    President Donald Trump is leveraging the threat of imposing tariffs on goods from Canada and Mexico to expedite the renegotiation of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), according to reports from the Wall Street Journal. Trump's strategy aims to initiate talks before the scheduled 2026 review, with a particular focus on altering the automotive rules within the trade pact. This move is intended to encourage the relocation of car manufacturing plants from Canada and Mexico back to the United States. The threat of tariffs, potentially as soon as next week, is seen as a negotiation mechanism by Trump, as noted by former Mexico USMCA negotiator Kenneth Smith. Smith also warned that a 25% U.S. tariff on Mexico could lead to the suspension of USMCA, and suggested that Mexico should retaliate if such tariffs are imposed.

    View original story

    Similar markets

    Will the U.S. impose 25% tariffs on Canadian goods by February 1, 2025?

    Will the U.S. impose 25% tariffs on Canadian goods by February 1, 2025?

    Yes • 50%

    No • 50%

    Will the U.S. impose new tariffs on Canada by July 31, 2025?

    Will the U.S. impose new tariffs on Canada by July 31, 2025?

    Yes • 50%

    No • 50%

    Will the U.S. impose new tariffs on Canada by June 30, 2025?

    Will the U.S. impose new tariffs on Canada by June 30, 2025?

    Yes • 50%

    No • 50%

    Will the U.S. impose 25% tariffs on Canadian imports by February 1, 2025?

    Will the U.S. impose 25% tariffs on Canadian imports by February 1, 2025?

    Yes • 50%

    No • 50%

    Will the U.S. impose a 25% tariff on all Canadian imports by February 28, 2025?

    Will the U.S. impose a 25% tariff on all Canadian imports by February 28, 2025?

    Yes • 50%

    No • 50%

    Will the U.S. impose a 25% tariff on Canadian imports by February 1, 2025?

    Will the U.S. impose a 25% tariff on Canadian imports by February 1, 2025?

    No • 50%

    Yes • 50%

    Will U.S. impose 25% tariffs on Canadian imports by February 1, 2025?

    Will U.S. impose 25% tariffs on Canadian imports by February 1, 2025?

    No • 50%

    Yes • 50%

    Will the U.S. implement new tariffs on Canada by June 30, 2025?

    Will the U.S. implement new tariffs on Canada by June 30, 2025?

    No • 50%

    Yes • 50%

    Will the U.S. impose a 25% tariff on Canada imports by February 1, 2025?

    Will the U.S. impose a 25% tariff on Canada imports by February 1, 2025?

    Yes • 50%

    No • 50%

    Will the U.S. impose a 25% tariff on Canadian goods by March 31, 2025?

    Will the U.S. impose a 25% tariff on Canadian goods by March 31, 2025?

    No • 50%

    Yes • 50%

    Will the U.S. impose tariffs on Canadian imports by June 30, 2025?

    Will the U.S. impose tariffs on Canadian imports by June 30, 2025?

    No • 50%

    Yes • 50%

    U.S. to impose new tariffs on Canadian goods by March 31, 2025?

    U.S. to impose new tariffs on Canadian goods by March 31, 2025?

    Yes • 50%

    No • 50%

    Markets based on same story

    Loading...
    Looking for markets...

    Show all

    Will Mexico impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods by March 31, 2025?

    Will Mexico impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods by March 31, 2025?

    No • 50%

    Yes • 50%

    Will the U.S. impose new tariffs on Mexican goods by February 28, 2025?

    Will the U.S. impose new tariffs on Mexican goods by February 28, 2025?

    No • 50%

    Yes • 50%

    What will be the outcome of USMCA renegotiation talks by December 31, 2025?

    What will be the outcome of USMCA renegotiation talks by December 31, 2025?

    Negotiations ongoing • 25%

    No amendments agreed • 25%

    Major amendments agreed • 25%

    Minor amendments agreed • 25%

    Where will automotive manufacturing plants shift by December 31, 2025?

    Where will automotive manufacturing plants shift by December 31, 2025?

    Major shift to the U.S. • 25%

    Major shift to Canada • 25%

    No major shift • 25%

    Major shift to Mexico • 25%