Market
Will the Trump Administration disband the National Space Council by March 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcement from the White House or a credible news outlet
Story
Trump Administration Plans to Disband National Space Council, Established in 1989, Amid SpaceX Lobbying
Jan 21, 2025, 10:13 PM
President Donald Trump's administration is reportedly planning to disband the National Space Council, a key policy panel that oversees U.S. space initiatives across civil, commercial, and defense sectors. This potential decision follows lobbying efforts from SpaceX, the aerospace company founded by Elon Musk, which has been advocating for the council's dissolution. Sources indicate that the council, which was revived in 2017, may no longer be deemed necessary by the administration, particularly as Vice President JD Vance appears reluctant to chair it. The council was originally established in 1989 during the George H.W. Bush administration and has played a significant role in shaping U.S. space policy. The anticipated move reflects a broader shift in space policy priorities under the current administration.
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Influence of SpaceX lobbying • 25%
Streamlining space policy • 25%
Cost-cutting measures • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Handled by a new agency • 25%
Other • 25%
Transferred to NASA • 25%
Merged with existing agency • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Moon missions • 25%
Other • 25%
Commercial partnerships • 25%
Mars exploration • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
