Market
What will be the future of the National Space Council by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Disbanded • 25%
Reorganized • 25%
Continues unchanged • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the White House or credible news outlets
Story
Trump Administration Plans to Disband National Space Council, Established in 1989, Amid SpaceX Lobbying
Jan 21, 2025, 10:13 PM
President Donald Trump's administration is reportedly planning to disband the National Space Council, a key policy panel that oversees U.S. space initiatives across civil, commercial, and defense sectors. This potential decision follows lobbying efforts from SpaceX, the aerospace company founded by Elon Musk, which has been advocating for the council's dissolution. Sources indicate that the council, which was revived in 2017, may no longer be deemed necessary by the administration, particularly as Vice President JD Vance appears reluctant to chair it. The council was originally established in 1989 during the George H.W. Bush administration and has played a significant role in shaping U.S. space policy. The anticipated move reflects a broader shift in space policy priorities under the current administration.
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Similar markets
Handled by a new agency • 25%
Merged with existing agency • 25%
Transferred to NASA • 25%
Other • 25%
Cost-cutting measures • 25%
Influence of SpaceX lobbying • 25%
Other • 25%
Streamlining space policy • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Commercial partnerships • 25%
Other • 25%
Moon missions • 25%
Mars exploration • 25%
Other • 25%
Space debris management • 25%
Space traffic management • 25%
Cybersecurity in space • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Formation of Entirely New Committees • 25%
No Committees Formed • 25%
Combination of Old and New Members • 25%
Reinstatement of Original Members • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No significant change • 25%
Relaxation of current regulations • 25%
Introduction of new licensing requirements • 25%
Increased safety regulations • 25%