Market
Will the Senate pass the bill restricting transgender women in collegiate sports by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official Senate voting records and announcements
Story
Trump Pledges Ban on Transgender Athletes in Women's Sports, House Passes Bill Awaiting Senate Vote
Jan 20, 2025, 10:12 AM
On the eve of his inauguration as the 47th President of the United States, Donald Trump reiterated his commitment to implementing policies that would bar transgender athletes, particularly transgender women, from participating in women's sports. Speaking at a rally in Washington, Trump declared that this measure would take effect immediately, stating, "We will keep men out of women's sports. It's over." This stance aligns with broader Republican efforts to address transgender issues and follows the recent passage of a bill by the House of Representatives aimed at restricting transgender women's participation in collegiate sports. The bill, which defines sex as assigned at birth, passed with a vote tally of 218-206 and now awaits a Senate vote, where 60% approval is required for passage. Trump also indicated plans to issue executive orders targeting other transgender-related policies, including restrictions on military service and access to schools.
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No • 50%
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Passes with majority • 25%
Fails to pass • 25%
Tied vote • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Postponed • 25%
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Passed after overcoming filibuster • 25%
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Passed without filibuster • 25%
