Market
Will the Senate approve the $110B disaster aid by Jan 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official Senate records and announcements
Story
House Republicans Agree on Clean Three-Month Funding Extension, $110B Disaster Aid, and Debt Limit Suspension Until 2027
Dec 19, 2024, 08:44 PM
House Republicans have reached a deal to avert a government shutdown, which includes a clean three-month extension of government funding, a two-year suspension of the federal debt limit until January 2027, and $110 billion in disaster aid. The package also includes a clean farm bill extension, clean health extenders without pharmacy benefit manager (PBM) reform, and a reset of the Paygo scorecard to zero. The agreement does not include changes to E15 ethanol rules. This spending plan is set to be voted on in the House tonight.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Bill passes with amendments • 25%
Bill passes unchanged • 25%
Bill fails to pass • 25%
Bill delayed beyond January 31, 2025 • 25%
Majority to flood relief • 25%
Evenly distributed • 25%
Majority to wildfire relief • 25%
Majority to hurricane relief • 25%
Over $100 billion • 25%
No disaster aid included • 25%
$50 billion to $100 billion • 25%
Less than $50 billion • 25%
