Market
Will the number of Syrian refugees returning from Turkey increase by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from Turkish and Syrian government agencies or UNHCR data
Story
Turkey Reopens Damascus Embassy on Saturday, Aims to Address YPG Threat
Dec 13, 2024, 07:21 PM
Turkey's Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan announced that the Turkish Embassy in Damascus will reopen on Saturday, December 14, 2024, marking the first time since 2012 that the embassy will resume operations. This decision follows a period of strained relations due to the Syrian civil war. Fidan emphasized Turkey's desire for a Syria free of terrorism and inclusive governance. He also mentioned that the number of Syrians in Turkey returning to their homeland is expected to increase as stability returns to Syria. The move to reopen the embassy is part of Turkey's broader strategy to engage with the new Syrian government and address issues like terrorism and the presence of the YPG, which Turkey considers a strategic threat.
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More than 150,000 • 25%
Less than 50,000 • 25%
50,000 to 100,000 • 25%
100,001 to 150,000 • 25%
Minority return • 25%
No significant return • 25%
Majority return • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Decrease in Return Rates • 25%
Moderate Increase in Returns • 25%
No Change in Return Rates • 25%
Significant Increase in Returns • 25%
