Market
Will the HY100 UAV be involved in a publicly reported incident or accident by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
International news reports, official accident reports
Story
China Launches HY100 UAV with 5.25 Tons Takeoff Weight, 1.9 Tons Payload Capacity, and Delivers First Three Units
Jan 22, 2025, 07:15 AM
China has officially launched the HY100, its first large-scale unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV), which has a takeoff weight of 5.25 tons and a maximum payload capacity of 1.9 tons. The UAV entered mass production recently in Shihezi, located in the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region. Three units have already been delivered to customers, marking the first instance of mass-produced homegrown large-scale UAVs in China. The HY100 is a fixed-wing model with a maximum range of 1,800 kilometers and a maximum flight duration of 10.6 hours, and it boasts complete independent intellectual property rights.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Pilot identified and penalized • 25%
Pilot identified but not penalized • 25%
Pilot not identified • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Amogy Inc. receives warning • 25%
New regulations implemented • 25%
Amogy Inc. fined • 25%
No further action taken • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No issues found • 25%
Minor issues found • 25%
Major issues found • 25%
Model deemed unsafe • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Remain the same • 25%
Increase • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Fluctuate significantly • 25%