Market
Will significant seismic activity impact Brahmaputra dam site by 2026?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from geological surveys or major news outlets
Story
China Approves $137 Billion Hydropower Dam on Brahmaputra, Set to Generate 300 Billion kWh
Dec 27, 2024, 03:34 AM
China has approved the construction of what will be the world's largest hydropower dam on the Yarlung Zangbo River in Tibet, known as the Brahmaputra River in India. The project, estimated to cost over $137 billion, is set to generate 300 billion kilowatt-hours of electricity annually, tripling the capacity of the Three Gorges Dam. The dam's location in a seismically active region near the Indian border has raised concerns in India and Bangladesh about potential impacts on water flow and ecology. China has defended the project, asserting that it has conducted extensive studies and implemented safeguards to minimize negative impacts on downstream countries. The initiative is part of China's broader strategy to develop clean energy and address climate change.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Environmental protest • 25%
Geopolitical tension with India • 25%
Geopolitical tension with Bangladesh • 25%
No major incident • 25%
Seek international arbitration • 25%
No official reaction • 25%
Bilateral talks with China • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Completed • 25%
Not started • 25%
Less than 50% complete • 25%
More than 50% complete • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No significant impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Significant negative impact • 25%
Moderate negative impact • 25%
Appeal to international bodies • 25%
Bilateral talks with China • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%