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What will be the impact of China's hydropower dam on water resources in downstream countries by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant negative impact • 25%
Moderate negative impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Reports from international environmental or water resource organizations
Story
China Approves World's Largest Hydropower Dam in Tibet, Estimated at $137 Billion, to Generate 300 Billion kWh for 300 Million People
Dec 26, 2024, 09:45 AM
The Chinese government has approved the construction of what is set to be the world's largest hydropower dam, located in Tibet on the lower reaches of the Yarlung Zangbo River. This ambitious project is expected to generate approximately 300 billion kilowatt-hours of electricity annually, which is three times the output of the Three Gorges Dam, and could meet the energy needs of over 300 million people. The total investment for the dam is projected to exceed 1 trillion yuan (about $137 billion), making it the most expensive infrastructure project globally. The initiative has raised concerns among neighboring countries, particularly India and Bangladesh, regarding its potential impact on water resources and local ecosystems. The project is seen as a significant step in China's ongoing efforts to expand its hydropower capabilities.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
India and other countries • 25%
India and Bangladesh • 25%
India only • 25%
No countries involved • 25%
Bilateral talks with China • 25%
No official reaction • 25%
Seek international arbitration • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Ecological damage • 25%
Water flow disruption • 25%
Seismic risk • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No response • 25%
Supportive stance • 25%
Formal protest • 25%
India • 33%
Both • 33%
Bangladesh • 33%
Neither • 1%
No significant impact • 25%
Minor increase (<25% of regional needs) • 25%
Moderate increase (25-50% of regional needs) • 25%
Major increase (>50% of regional needs) • 25%