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Will significant protests occur against Kavelashvili's presidency in Georgia by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
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Story
Far-Right Former Footballer Mikheil Kavelashvili Elected President of Georgia, Succeeds Salome Zourabichvili
Dec 14, 2024, 11:37 AM
Mikheil Kavelashvili, a former soccer player and a member of the ruling party, has been elected as the new president of Georgia. His election marks a consolidation of power for the far-right faction within the government. Kavelashvili is known for his hardline stance and criticism of the West, raising concerns about the country's future direction. He succeeds Salome Zourabichvili, who previously held the presidency. The decision by Georgian lawmakers reflects a significant shift in the political landscape, aligning with the ruling party's agenda.
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Protests subside without major change • 25%
Increased international intervention • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Kavelashvili steps down • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Kavelashvili resignation • 25%
Increased repression • 25%
Government concessions • 25%
Kavelashvili remains president • 25%
Zourabichvili returns to power • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Government reverses decision • 25%
Protests subside without change • 25%
Government crackdown intensifies • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Protests lead to government resignation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Protests are suppressed without change • 25%
Protests lead to policy change • 25%
Protests successfully lead to policy changes • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Protests are suppressed without changes • 25%
Protests continue without resolution • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Enhanced cooperation • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Other • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
New Elections Called • 25%
Government Reshuffle • 25%
New elections • 25%
Escalation of protests • 25%
Government concessions • 25%
No significant change • 25%