What will be the outcome of the Georgian pro-EU protests by mid-2025?
Protests lead to government resignation • 25%
Protests lead to policy change • 25%
Protests are suppressed without change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Major news outlets or official government announcements
US and UK Sanction Georgian Officials Amid 24-Day Pro-EU Protests, OSCE Report Cites Election Violations
Dec 21, 2024, 11:23 AM
The United States and the United Kingdom have imposed sanctions on senior Georgian officials, including the Minister of Internal Affairs Vakhtang Gomelauri and other high-ranking members of the Georgian government, in response to a violent crackdown on pro-European Union protesters. The sanctions, enacted under the Global Magnitsky sanctions program, target officials accused of orchestrating the suppression of demonstrations that have persisted for 24 days in Tbilisi and other cities across Georgia. These protests erupted following the Georgian government's decision to suspend negotiations on EU membership until 2028, a move that has sparked widespread discontent among Georgians advocating for closer ties with Europe. The European Commission has also proposed suspending the visa-free travel regime for Georgian diplomats and state officials as a reaction to the crackdown. Amidst the ongoing protests, Georgian authorities have pledged to award the sanctioned officials with the Order of Honor, a move seen as defiance against Western sanctions. The Georgian opposition has cited a critical OSCE report on the October 2024 parliamentary elections, which highlighted significant electoral violations, as evidence of the government's illegitimacy and a call for new elections.
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Government concessions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
New elections • 25%
Escalation of protests • 25%
Government crackdown intensifies • 25%
Protests subside without change • 25%
Government reverses decision • 25%
Other • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Government Concessions • 25%
Increased Crackdowns • 25%
Protests Dissolve • 25%
Protests continue without resolution • 25%
Protests successfully lead to policy changes • 25%
Protests are suppressed without changes • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Other • 25%
New Elections Called • 25%
Government Reshuffle • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Increased Repression • 25%
Other • 25%
Protests Dissipate • 25%
Government Concessions • 25%
Kavelashvili remains president • 25%
Zourabichvili returns to power • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Protests escalate • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Government concessions • 25%
Protests dissipate without change • 25%
Protests lead to government concessions • 25%
Protests escalate into violent clashes • 25%
Other significant outcomes • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
New elections held • 25%
Increased international intervention • 25%
Protests subside without major change • 25%
Kavelashvili steps down • 25%
Kavelashvili consolidates power • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Zourabichvili remains in power • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Additional sanctions imposed • 25%
Other response • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%