Market
Will Senators Cotton and Ricketts change their stance on the TikTok ban by May 31, 2025?
4
Tom Cotton•Pete Ricketts•Cotton•Senate Intelligence Committee•GOP•TikTok•Donald Trump•Arkansas•Nebraska•ByteDance•Communist China
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Public statements from Senators Cotton and Ricketts or credible news reports
Story
Senators Cotton and Ricketts Oppose TikTok Ban Extension, Demand ByteDance Sale to Sever China Ties
Jan 19, 2025, 02:29 PM
Senators Tom Cotton and Pete Ricketts, with Cotton serving as the Chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee and part of GOP leadership, have taken a firm stance against extending the effective date of the TikTok ban, despite indications from former President Donald Trump that he might seek to delay it. The senators, representing Arkansas (R-AR) and Nebraska (R-NE) respectively, argue that with the law now in effect, there is no legal basis for any kind of extension. They emphasize that for TikTok to operate legally in the future, ByteDance must agree to a sale that meets the law's qualified-divestiture requirements, completely severing ties with Communist China. This position is supported by the assertion that ByteDance has not shown significant progress toward a qualified divestiture, as required by the law.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Majority migrate to alternative platforms • 25%
No significant change in user behavior • 25%
Significant decline in user engagement • 25%
Majority continue using TikTok despite restrictions • 25%