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Will Russia conduct a nuclear test by December 31, 2025 in response to U.S. policy?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) reports or official Russian government announcements
Story
Russia's Sergei Ryabkov Warns of Nuclear Testing Measures Amid Trump's 'Extremely Hostile' Posture
Dec 27, 2024, 08:30 AM
Russia is considering a range of possible measures regarding nuclear testing, as stated by Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov. This statement comes amid concerns over the incoming administration of Donald Trump, which Moscow perceives as having a radical stance on nuclear policy. Ryabkov indicated that Russia would evaluate its options in response to any potential resumption of nuclear tests by the United States. The warning reflects Moscow's view of an 'extremely complicated international situation' and its criticism of Washington's 'extremely hostile' posture. The comments were reported by various outlets, including Kommersant and other international news agencies.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
Conduct a nuclear test • 25%
Engage in diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increase nuclear arsenal • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Military posturing • 25%
Maintain status quo • 25%
Seek international mediation • 25%
Halt nuclear test plans • 25%
Proceed with nuclear test • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%